Friday, October 15, 2010

It all comes down to turnout

There seems to be little doubt that the mid-terms will be decided by one thing—turnout.  Republicans are excited and ready to turnout in record numbers.  Democrats are much less enthusiastic and many appear likely to stay home.  What difference does the Republican turnout margin make?  Huge.  Here are the latest estimates from Gallup.

In a low turnout situation in which Democrats pretty much stay at home while Republicans go to the polls, Republicans have a 17% point advantage.  If that happened, they might be able to take over Congress by a margin not seen since the 1920s.  Remember what happened then?  Republicans 1920s=Great Depression 1930s.  Republicans 2010=Great Depression once again.


If you can't read the chart above, click here to see Gallup’s analysis and poll results.  http://www.gallup.com/poll/143576/Republicans-Maintain-Strength-Among-Likely-Voters.aspx

Bottom line Democrats.  If you stay home and don’t vote, you hand Congress to the Republicans and especially the Tea Party folks who will exercise tremendous control over the Republican leadership.  On the other hand, if you go to the polls and vote, we may be able to hold Republicans to gains not much larger than typical for the party out of power in a mid-term election.  It’s our choice.

VOTE DEMOCRATIC OR SOCIAL SECURITY, MEDICARE, HEALTH REFORM, FINANCIAL REFORM AND MUCH, MUCH MORE WILL BE IN DANGER.  ALLOW REPUBLICANS A HUGE MARGIN OF VICTORY AND YOU RUN THE REAL RISK OF ALLOWING THEM TO GOVERN THE COUNTRY RIGHT IN TO ANOTHER GREAT DEPRESSION.  THE ENEMIES OF PROGRESS CAN WIN ONLY IF WE LET THEM.  DON'T LET THEM.





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