Thursday, January 12, 2012

Election experts predict Obama will win

PollyVote recently surveyed 15 experts on U.S. presidential elections from a variety of colleges and universities asking them to predict the likely outcome of the 2012 election.  Twelve of the 15 experts predicted that Obama would win a narrow victory.  Forecasts of Obama’s vote ranged from a high of 52% to a low of 48%.  The average forecast was that Obama would get 50.7% of the vote.

This is the third presidential election in which PollyVote has conducted such a survey.   In 2004 and 2008, the expert panel came closer to forecasting the actual vote than other forecasters this early in the race. 

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