Monday, February 13, 2012

New Poll: Santorum in lead, Obama beats all comers


A new Pew Research national poll shows Obama running strong against Romney, Santorum and Gingrich in head-to head match ups and Santorum now essentially tied with Romney for the Republican nomination.

Republican Race:

Results from a new Pew Research poll released today shows Rick Santorum now tied with Romney nationally among Republicans—Santorum 30%/Romney 28% (MOE: 6%)  Santorum was trailing Romney 16% to 27% in this poll in January.

Santorum has a substantial lead over Romney among Republicans who are: Tea Party supporters, Conservatives, 50-64 year-olds, non-college graduates, White evangelicals and White Catholics.

Republicans in general and Tea Party supporters in particular, say they don’t think Romney is a strong conservative and don’t think he takes consistent positions on issues.

Obama vs. Possible Republican Candidates

In head-to-head match-ups, Obama leads Romney by 8 points (52% to 44%) and Santorum by 10 (53% to 43%).  He leads Gingrich by 18-57% to 39%.  In November, Obama and Romney were essentially tied—49% Obama, 47% Romney.

Obama has improved his standing among Independents by 11 points since November.  He now leads Romney among Independents 51% to 42%.  A majority of Independents now say that Romney is inconsistent on the issues (53%) and doesn’t understand their needs (60%).  A majority no longer say Romney is qualified to be president or honest.

The margin of error overall is 3%, 6% among Republicans and 7% among Tea Party Supporters.


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